Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic
Abstract Khan, A. H., Levac, E., and Chmura, G. L. 2013. Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 70: 915–921. We analysed projections of future sea surface temperatures (SSTs) for six Large Marine Ecosystems (LMEs) of th...
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Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fst002 http://academic.oup.com/icesjms/article-pdf/70/5/915/29145044/fst002.pdf |
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croxfordunivpr:10.1093/icesjms/fst002 2024-01-28T10:06:13+01:00 Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic Khan, Amina H. Levac, Elisabeth Chmura, Gail L. 2013 http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fst002 http://academic.oup.com/icesjms/article-pdf/70/5/915/29145044/fst002.pdf en eng Oxford University Press (OUP) ICES Journal of Marine Science volume 70, issue 5, page 915-921 ISSN 1095-9289 1054-3139 Ecology Aquatic Science Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics Oceanography journal-article 2013 croxfordunivpr https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fst002 2023-12-29T09:39:04Z Abstract Khan, A. H., Levac, E., and Chmura, G. L. 2013. Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 70: 915–921. We analysed projections of future sea surface temperatures (SSTs) for six Large Marine Ecosystems (LMEs) of the Northwest Atlantic: the West Greenland Shelf, the Newfoundland-Labrador Shelf, the Scotian Shelf, the Northeast US continental shelf, the Southeast US continental shelf, and the Gulf of Mexico. We used state-of-the-art global climate models (CSIRO-Mk3.6, GISS-E2-R) and earth system models (CanESM2, HadGEM2-ES) and representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 8.5 and 4.5 that represent a range in possible future concentrations of atmospheric CO2. Our analysis focuses on average February and August SSTs from the period 2071–2100 as the low and high temperatures of these months generally define the thermal habitat of a species. SSTs will increase in most, but not all, waters of the LMEs, and seasonality will increase in all LMEs. The difference in SSTs from the Gulf of Mexico to the Scotian Shelf may be reduced but differences will increase from the Scotian Shelf north. Although past SST changes have been greatest on the Newfoundland-Labrador Shelf, ensemble average projections indicate that the greatest future change will occur on the Scotian Shelf. The variation in future SSTs is greater among models than between RCPs, suggesting that impact studies limited to a single model may be biased. Article in Journal/Newspaper Greenland Newfoundland Northwest Atlantic Oxford University Press (via Crossref) Newfoundland Greenland Labrador Shelf ENVELOPE(-58.000,-58.000,56.000,56.000) ICES Journal of Marine Science 70 5 915 921 |
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Open Polar |
collection |
Oxford University Press (via Crossref) |
op_collection_id |
croxfordunivpr |
language |
English |
topic |
Ecology Aquatic Science Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics Oceanography |
spellingShingle |
Ecology Aquatic Science Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics Oceanography Khan, Amina H. Levac, Elisabeth Chmura, Gail L. Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic |
topic_facet |
Ecology Aquatic Science Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics Oceanography |
description |
Abstract Khan, A. H., Levac, E., and Chmura, G. L. 2013. Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 70: 915–921. We analysed projections of future sea surface temperatures (SSTs) for six Large Marine Ecosystems (LMEs) of the Northwest Atlantic: the West Greenland Shelf, the Newfoundland-Labrador Shelf, the Scotian Shelf, the Northeast US continental shelf, the Southeast US continental shelf, and the Gulf of Mexico. We used state-of-the-art global climate models (CSIRO-Mk3.6, GISS-E2-R) and earth system models (CanESM2, HadGEM2-ES) and representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 8.5 and 4.5 that represent a range in possible future concentrations of atmospheric CO2. Our analysis focuses on average February and August SSTs from the period 2071–2100 as the low and high temperatures of these months generally define the thermal habitat of a species. SSTs will increase in most, but not all, waters of the LMEs, and seasonality will increase in all LMEs. The difference in SSTs from the Gulf of Mexico to the Scotian Shelf may be reduced but differences will increase from the Scotian Shelf north. Although past SST changes have been greatest on the Newfoundland-Labrador Shelf, ensemble average projections indicate that the greatest future change will occur on the Scotian Shelf. The variation in future SSTs is greater among models than between RCPs, suggesting that impact studies limited to a single model may be biased. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Khan, Amina H. Levac, Elisabeth Chmura, Gail L. |
author_facet |
Khan, Amina H. Levac, Elisabeth Chmura, Gail L. |
author_sort |
Khan, Amina H. |
title |
Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic |
title_short |
Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic |
title_full |
Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic |
title_fullStr |
Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic |
title_full_unstemmed |
Future sea surface temperatures in Large Marine Ecosystems of the Northwest Atlantic |
title_sort |
future sea surface temperatures in large marine ecosystems of the northwest atlantic |
publisher |
Oxford University Press (OUP) |
publishDate |
2013 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fst002 http://academic.oup.com/icesjms/article-pdf/70/5/915/29145044/fst002.pdf |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-58.000,-58.000,56.000,56.000) |
geographic |
Newfoundland Greenland Labrador Shelf |
geographic_facet |
Newfoundland Greenland Labrador Shelf |
genre |
Greenland Newfoundland Northwest Atlantic |
genre_facet |
Greenland Newfoundland Northwest Atlantic |
op_source |
ICES Journal of Marine Science volume 70, issue 5, page 915-921 ISSN 1095-9289 1054-3139 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fst002 |
container_title |
ICES Journal of Marine Science |
container_volume |
70 |
container_issue |
5 |
container_start_page |
915 |
op_container_end_page |
921 |
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1789332938288005120 |