Integration of biological, economic, and sociological knowledge by Bayesian belief networks: the interdisciplinary evaluation of potential management plans for Baltic salmon
Abstract Levontin, P., Kulmala, S., Haapasaari, P., and Kuikka, S. 2011. Integration of biological, economic, and sociological knowledge by Bayesian belief networks: the interdisciplinary evaluation of potential management plans for Baltic salmon. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 68: . There is a g...
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croxfordunivpr:10.1093/icesjms/fsr004 2024-09-15T18:17:08+00:00 Integration of biological, economic, and sociological knowledge by Bayesian belief networks: the interdisciplinary evaluation of potential management plans for Baltic salmon Levontin, Polina Kulmala, Soile Haapasaari, Päivi Kuikka, Sakari 2011 http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsr004 http://academic.oup.com/icesjms/article-pdf/68/3/632/29140440/fsr004.pdf en eng Oxford University Press (OUP) ICES Journal of Marine Science volume 68, issue 3, page 632-638 ISSN 1095-9289 1054-3139 journal-article 2011 croxfordunivpr https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsr004 2024-07-29T04:20:30Z Abstract Levontin, P., Kulmala, S., Haapasaari, P., and Kuikka, S. 2011. Integration of biological, economic, and sociological knowledge by Bayesian belief networks: the interdisciplinary evaluation of potential management plans for Baltic salmon. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 68: . There is a growing need to evaluate fisheries management plans in a comprehensive interdisciplinary context involving stakeholders. The use of a probabilistic management model to evaluate potential management plans for Baltic salmon fisheries is demonstrated. The analysis draws on several scientific studies: a biological stock assessment with integrated economic analysis of the commercial fisheries, an evaluation of recreational fisheries, and a sociological study aimed at understanding stakeholder perspectives and potential commitment to alternative management plans. A Bayesian belief network is used to synthesize the findings from these separate studies and to evaluate the robustness of management decisions to different priorities and various sources of uncertainty. In particular, the importance of sociological studies in quantifying uncertainty about the commitment of fishers to management plans is highlighted by modelling the link between commitment and implementation success. Such analyses, relying on prior knowledge, can forewarn of the consequences of management choices before they are implemented. Article in Journal/Newspaper kuikka Oxford University Press ICES Journal of Marine Science 68 3 632 638 |
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Oxford University Press |
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Abstract Levontin, P., Kulmala, S., Haapasaari, P., and Kuikka, S. 2011. Integration of biological, economic, and sociological knowledge by Bayesian belief networks: the interdisciplinary evaluation of potential management plans for Baltic salmon. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 68: . There is a growing need to evaluate fisheries management plans in a comprehensive interdisciplinary context involving stakeholders. The use of a probabilistic management model to evaluate potential management plans for Baltic salmon fisheries is demonstrated. The analysis draws on several scientific studies: a biological stock assessment with integrated economic analysis of the commercial fisheries, an evaluation of recreational fisheries, and a sociological study aimed at understanding stakeholder perspectives and potential commitment to alternative management plans. A Bayesian belief network is used to synthesize the findings from these separate studies and to evaluate the robustness of management decisions to different priorities and various sources of uncertainty. In particular, the importance of sociological studies in quantifying uncertainty about the commitment of fishers to management plans is highlighted by modelling the link between commitment and implementation success. Such analyses, relying on prior knowledge, can forewarn of the consequences of management choices before they are implemented. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Levontin, Polina Kulmala, Soile Haapasaari, Päivi Kuikka, Sakari |
spellingShingle |
Levontin, Polina Kulmala, Soile Haapasaari, Päivi Kuikka, Sakari Integration of biological, economic, and sociological knowledge by Bayesian belief networks: the interdisciplinary evaluation of potential management plans for Baltic salmon |
author_facet |
Levontin, Polina Kulmala, Soile Haapasaari, Päivi Kuikka, Sakari |
author_sort |
Levontin, Polina |
title |
Integration of biological, economic, and sociological knowledge by Bayesian belief networks: the interdisciplinary evaluation of potential management plans for Baltic salmon |
title_short |
Integration of biological, economic, and sociological knowledge by Bayesian belief networks: the interdisciplinary evaluation of potential management plans for Baltic salmon |
title_full |
Integration of biological, economic, and sociological knowledge by Bayesian belief networks: the interdisciplinary evaluation of potential management plans for Baltic salmon |
title_fullStr |
Integration of biological, economic, and sociological knowledge by Bayesian belief networks: the interdisciplinary evaluation of potential management plans for Baltic salmon |
title_full_unstemmed |
Integration of biological, economic, and sociological knowledge by Bayesian belief networks: the interdisciplinary evaluation of potential management plans for Baltic salmon |
title_sort |
integration of biological, economic, and sociological knowledge by bayesian belief networks: the interdisciplinary evaluation of potential management plans for baltic salmon |
publisher |
Oxford University Press (OUP) |
publishDate |
2011 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsr004 http://academic.oup.com/icesjms/article-pdf/68/3/632/29140440/fsr004.pdf |
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kuikka |
genre_facet |
kuikka |
op_source |
ICES Journal of Marine Science volume 68, issue 3, page 632-638 ISSN 1095-9289 1054-3139 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsr004 |
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ICES Journal of Marine Science |
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68 |
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3 |
container_start_page |
632 |
op_container_end_page |
638 |
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1810455128921079808 |