Climate change influences global distribution of alien tube worms
Abstract Alien tube worms have been introduced outside their original distribution areas via international shipping and have become invasive in these areas. Climate change has been acknowledged to redistribute both native and alien species; however, the effect of climate change on the global distrib...
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Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1266/1/012054 https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/1266/1/012054 https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/1266/1/012054/pdf |
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crioppubl:10.1088/1755-1315/1266/1/012054 2024-06-02T08:04:09+00:00 Climate change influences global distribution of alien tube worms Hadiyanto, Hadiyanto 2023 http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1266/1/012054 https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/1266/1/012054 https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/1266/1/012054/pdf unknown IOP Publishing http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/ https://iopscience.iop.org/info/page/text-and-data-mining IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science volume 1266, issue 1, page 012054 ISSN 1755-1307 1755-1315 journal-article 2023 crioppubl https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1266/1/012054 2024-05-07T14:04:22Z Abstract Alien tube worms have been introduced outside their original distribution areas via international shipping and have become invasive in these areas. Climate change has been acknowledged to redistribute both native and alien species; however, the effect of climate change on the global distribution of alien tube worms is unknown. This study predicts the global distribution patterns of alien tube worms ( Hydroides elegans, Sabella spallanzanii , and Ficopomatus enigmaticus ) and projects how climate change influences these patterns using species distribution modelling. Sea surface temperature, salinity, primary productivity, phosphate, nitrate, and current velocity are selected as the predictors. The models predict species occurrences well, with AUC values greater than 0.95. Under the present climate scenario, the occurrence probability of alien tube worms is high (>0.9) within the temperate Atlantic Ocean, Persian Gulf, Sea of Japan, Yellow Sea, Southern China, and Southern Australia. The probability of occurrence is expected to increase across oceans by 2100, suggesting that alien tube worms will be more common in the future. Increases in occurrence probability are also projected at higher latitudes (e.g., Barents Sea) by 2100, indicating poleward shifts of these species. This study highlights the urgency of incorporating climate change into the management of alien invasive species. Article in Journal/Newspaper Barents Sea IOP Publishing Barents Sea IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 1266 1 012054 |
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Abstract Alien tube worms have been introduced outside their original distribution areas via international shipping and have become invasive in these areas. Climate change has been acknowledged to redistribute both native and alien species; however, the effect of climate change on the global distribution of alien tube worms is unknown. This study predicts the global distribution patterns of alien tube worms ( Hydroides elegans, Sabella spallanzanii , and Ficopomatus enigmaticus ) and projects how climate change influences these patterns using species distribution modelling. Sea surface temperature, salinity, primary productivity, phosphate, nitrate, and current velocity are selected as the predictors. The models predict species occurrences well, with AUC values greater than 0.95. Under the present climate scenario, the occurrence probability of alien tube worms is high (>0.9) within the temperate Atlantic Ocean, Persian Gulf, Sea of Japan, Yellow Sea, Southern China, and Southern Australia. The probability of occurrence is expected to increase across oceans by 2100, suggesting that alien tube worms will be more common in the future. Increases in occurrence probability are also projected at higher latitudes (e.g., Barents Sea) by 2100, indicating poleward shifts of these species. This study highlights the urgency of incorporating climate change into the management of alien invasive species. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Hadiyanto, Hadiyanto |
spellingShingle |
Hadiyanto, Hadiyanto Climate change influences global distribution of alien tube worms |
author_facet |
Hadiyanto, Hadiyanto |
author_sort |
Hadiyanto, Hadiyanto |
title |
Climate change influences global distribution of alien tube worms |
title_short |
Climate change influences global distribution of alien tube worms |
title_full |
Climate change influences global distribution of alien tube worms |
title_fullStr |
Climate change influences global distribution of alien tube worms |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climate change influences global distribution of alien tube worms |
title_sort |
climate change influences global distribution of alien tube worms |
publisher |
IOP Publishing |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1266/1/012054 https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/1266/1/012054 https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1755-1315/1266/1/012054/pdf |
geographic |
Barents Sea |
geographic_facet |
Barents Sea |
genre |
Barents Sea |
genre_facet |
Barents Sea |
op_source |
IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science volume 1266, issue 1, page 012054 ISSN 1755-1307 1755-1315 |
op_rights |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/ https://iopscience.iop.org/info/page/text-and-data-mining |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1266/1/012054 |
container_title |
IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science |
container_volume |
1266 |
container_issue |
1 |
container_start_page |
012054 |
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1800748788959150080 |