Changes in building climate zones over China based on high-resolution regional climate projections
Abstract Based on the up-to-date observations and five sets of high-resolution climate projections under RCP4.5 over East Asia using a regional climate model, this study defines building climate zones over China and assesses their past and future changes according to an established climate classific...
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crioppubl:10.1088/1748-9326/abbde8 2024-06-02T08:15:00+00:00 Changes in building climate zones over China based on high-resolution regional climate projections Shi, Ying Wang, Guiling Climate Change Specific Fund of China National Key Research and Development Program National Natural Science Foundation of China 2020 http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbde8 https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/abbde8 https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/abbde8/pdf unknown IOP Publishing http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 https://iopscience.iop.org/info/page/text-and-data-mining Environmental Research Letters volume 15, issue 11, page 114045 ISSN 1748-9326 journal-article 2020 crioppubl https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbde8 2024-05-07T14:06:43Z Abstract Based on the up-to-date observations and five sets of high-resolution climate projections under RCP4.5 over East Asia using a regional climate model, this study defines building climate zones over China and assesses their past and future changes according to an established climate classification scheme. The five-model ensemble captures the observed general distribution of climate zones, with a distinct latitudinal pattern over the densely populated eastern China, a subarctic zone in the western mountains including the Tibetan Plateau and a cool dry zone in the Tarim and Turpan basins; large disparities are found in northwestern China due to warm and dry biases. Observational data identifies a recent northward shift of most climate zones in eastern China and a shrinking of the subarctic climate zones over the Tibetan Plateau, which caused a building climate zone change for 18% of the country’s land area. As the warming continues in the future, the five-model ensemble projects additional climate zone changes influencing 43% and 55% of the country by mid- and late-century, respectively. In addition, the total area of the subarctic zone is projected to decrease from 16.6% of the country in present-day climate to 9.2% and 7.4% in the mid- and late-century, respectively, and that of the hot or very-hot climate zone is projected to expand from 4.2% to 9.1% and 11.3%, respectively. These changes should be taken into consideration in long-term development planning related to urbanization, energy efficiency, and environmental sustainability. Article in Journal/Newspaper Subarctic IOP Publishing Environmental Research Letters 15 11 114045 |
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Abstract Based on the up-to-date observations and five sets of high-resolution climate projections under RCP4.5 over East Asia using a regional climate model, this study defines building climate zones over China and assesses their past and future changes according to an established climate classification scheme. The five-model ensemble captures the observed general distribution of climate zones, with a distinct latitudinal pattern over the densely populated eastern China, a subarctic zone in the western mountains including the Tibetan Plateau and a cool dry zone in the Tarim and Turpan basins; large disparities are found in northwestern China due to warm and dry biases. Observational data identifies a recent northward shift of most climate zones in eastern China and a shrinking of the subarctic climate zones over the Tibetan Plateau, which caused a building climate zone change for 18% of the country’s land area. As the warming continues in the future, the five-model ensemble projects additional climate zone changes influencing 43% and 55% of the country by mid- and late-century, respectively. In addition, the total area of the subarctic zone is projected to decrease from 16.6% of the country in present-day climate to 9.2% and 7.4% in the mid- and late-century, respectively, and that of the hot or very-hot climate zone is projected to expand from 4.2% to 9.1% and 11.3%, respectively. These changes should be taken into consideration in long-term development planning related to urbanization, energy efficiency, and environmental sustainability. |
author2 |
Climate Change Specific Fund of China National Key Research and Development Program National Natural Science Foundation of China |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Shi, Ying Wang, Guiling |
spellingShingle |
Shi, Ying Wang, Guiling Changes in building climate zones over China based on high-resolution regional climate projections |
author_facet |
Shi, Ying Wang, Guiling |
author_sort |
Shi, Ying |
title |
Changes in building climate zones over China based on high-resolution regional climate projections |
title_short |
Changes in building climate zones over China based on high-resolution regional climate projections |
title_full |
Changes in building climate zones over China based on high-resolution regional climate projections |
title_fullStr |
Changes in building climate zones over China based on high-resolution regional climate projections |
title_full_unstemmed |
Changes in building climate zones over China based on high-resolution regional climate projections |
title_sort |
changes in building climate zones over china based on high-resolution regional climate projections |
publisher |
IOP Publishing |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbde8 https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/abbde8 https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/abbde8/pdf |
genre |
Subarctic |
genre_facet |
Subarctic |
op_source |
Environmental Research Letters volume 15, issue 11, page 114045 ISSN 1748-9326 |
op_rights |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0 https://iopscience.iop.org/info/page/text-and-data-mining |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abbde8 |
container_title |
Environmental Research Letters |
container_volume |
15 |
container_issue |
11 |
container_start_page |
114045 |
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1800739046805209088 |