Climate projections of meteotsunami hazards
Global climate models, indispensable for projecting the human-driven climate change, have been improving for decades and are nowadays capable of reproducing multiple processes (e.g., aerosols, sea-ice, carbon cycle) at up to 25 km horizontal resolution. Meteotsunami events – tsunami waves generated...
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Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2023.1167863 https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2023.1167863/full |
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crfrontiers:10.3389/fmars.2023.1167863 2024-09-30T14:43:10+00:00 Climate projections of meteotsunami hazards Denamiel, Cléa Belušić, Danijel Zemunik, Petra Vilibić, Ivica HORIZON EUROPE Framework Programme 2023 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2023.1167863 https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2023.1167863/full unknown Frontiers Media SA https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Frontiers in Marine Science volume 10 ISSN 2296-7745 journal-article 2023 crfrontiers https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2023.1167863 2024-09-03T04:06:12Z Global climate models, indispensable for projecting the human-driven climate change, have been improving for decades and are nowadays capable of reproducing multiple processes (e.g., aerosols, sea-ice, carbon cycle) at up to 25 km horizontal resolution. Meteotsunami events – tsunami waves generated by mesoscale atmospheric processes – are properly captured only by sub-kilometre-scale downscaling of these models. However, the computational cost of long-term high-resolution climate simulations providing accurate meteotsunami hazard assessments would be prohibitive. In this article, to overcome this deficiency, we present a new methodology allowing to project sub-kilometre-scale meteotsunami hazards and their climate uncertainties at any location in the world. Practically, the methodology uses (1) synoptic indices to preselect a substantial number of short-term meteotsunami episodes and (2) a suite of atmospheric and oceanic models to downscale them from an ensemble of global models to the sub-kilometre-scale. Such approach, using hundreds of events to build robust statistics, could allow for an objective assessment of the meteotsunami hazards at the climate scale which, on top of sea level rise and storm surge hazards, is crucial for building adaptation plans to protect coastal communities worldwide. Article in Journal/Newspaper Sea ice Frontiers (Publisher) Frontiers in Marine Science 10 |
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Global climate models, indispensable for projecting the human-driven climate change, have been improving for decades and are nowadays capable of reproducing multiple processes (e.g., aerosols, sea-ice, carbon cycle) at up to 25 km horizontal resolution. Meteotsunami events – tsunami waves generated by mesoscale atmospheric processes – are properly captured only by sub-kilometre-scale downscaling of these models. However, the computational cost of long-term high-resolution climate simulations providing accurate meteotsunami hazard assessments would be prohibitive. In this article, to overcome this deficiency, we present a new methodology allowing to project sub-kilometre-scale meteotsunami hazards and their climate uncertainties at any location in the world. Practically, the methodology uses (1) synoptic indices to preselect a substantial number of short-term meteotsunami episodes and (2) a suite of atmospheric and oceanic models to downscale them from an ensemble of global models to the sub-kilometre-scale. Such approach, using hundreds of events to build robust statistics, could allow for an objective assessment of the meteotsunami hazards at the climate scale which, on top of sea level rise and storm surge hazards, is crucial for building adaptation plans to protect coastal communities worldwide. |
author2 |
HORIZON EUROPE Framework Programme |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Denamiel, Cléa Belušić, Danijel Zemunik, Petra Vilibić, Ivica |
spellingShingle |
Denamiel, Cléa Belušić, Danijel Zemunik, Petra Vilibić, Ivica Climate projections of meteotsunami hazards |
author_facet |
Denamiel, Cléa Belušić, Danijel Zemunik, Petra Vilibić, Ivica |
author_sort |
Denamiel, Cléa |
title |
Climate projections of meteotsunami hazards |
title_short |
Climate projections of meteotsunami hazards |
title_full |
Climate projections of meteotsunami hazards |
title_fullStr |
Climate projections of meteotsunami hazards |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climate projections of meteotsunami hazards |
title_sort |
climate projections of meteotsunami hazards |
publisher |
Frontiers Media SA |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2023.1167863 https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2023.1167863/full |
genre |
Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Sea ice |
op_source |
Frontiers in Marine Science volume 10 ISSN 2296-7745 |
op_rights |
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2023.1167863 |
container_title |
Frontiers in Marine Science |
container_volume |
10 |
_version_ |
1811645084212396032 |