Climatic conditions limit wolverine distribution in the Cascade Range of southwestern North America
Recolonization of the Cascade Range in southern British Columbia, Canada, and Washington, USA, by wolverines ( Gulo gulo (L., 1758)) is an ongoing process whose ultimate outcome is unknown. A reliable species distribution model for the wolverine in the Cascades (i.e., their first-order habitat selec...
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2023
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crcansciencepubl:10.1139/cjz-2022-0005 2024-06-23T07:53:28+00:00 Climatic conditions limit wolverine distribution in the Cascade Range of southwestern North America Aubry, Keith B. Raley, Catherine M. Shirk, Andrew J. McKelvey, Kevin S. Copeland, Jeffrey P. 2023 http://dx.doi.org/10.1139/cjz-2022-0005 https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full-xml/10.1139/cjz-2022-0005 https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1139/cjz-2022-0005 en eng Canadian Science Publishing http://www.nrcresearchpress.com/page/about/CorporateTextAndDataMining Canadian Journal of Zoology volume 101, issue 2, page 95-113 ISSN 0008-4301 1480-3283 journal-article 2023 crcansciencepubl https://doi.org/10.1139/cjz-2022-0005 2024-06-06T04:11:18Z Recolonization of the Cascade Range in southern British Columbia, Canada, and Washington, USA, by wolverines ( Gulo gulo (L., 1758)) is an ongoing process whose ultimate outcome is unknown. A reliable species distribution model for the wolverine in the Cascades (i.e., their first-order habitat selection) is urgently needed to help inform management and conservation strategies. Using Argos location data obtained on 10 resident adult wolverines (six females, four males) from 2008 to 2016, we generated a multi-covariate species distribution model for the wolverine in the Cascades. Our final model included three climatic covariates and their quadratic terms: Proximity to the Transitional Zone Near Alpine Tree Line, Number of Frost-free Days per Year, and Annual Precipitation as Snow. Model validations indicated that our model was robust and could identify areas of potential wolverine distribution in the Cascades reliably. Our model provides evidence that wolverine distribution in the Cascades is constrained by climatic conditions and that snowy and cold environments define the geographic areas that are overwhelmingly associated with resident wolverines. In addition, our model provides a reliable basis for monitoring the direct effects of climate change on wolverines in the Cascade Range and for predicting the extent to which climate change may impact their populations under various scenarios. Article in Journal/Newspaper Gulo gulo Canadian Science Publishing Canada British Columbia ENVELOPE(-125.003,-125.003,54.000,54.000) Canadian Journal of Zoology 101 2 95 113 |
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Open Polar |
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Canadian Science Publishing |
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crcansciencepubl |
language |
English |
description |
Recolonization of the Cascade Range in southern British Columbia, Canada, and Washington, USA, by wolverines ( Gulo gulo (L., 1758)) is an ongoing process whose ultimate outcome is unknown. A reliable species distribution model for the wolverine in the Cascades (i.e., their first-order habitat selection) is urgently needed to help inform management and conservation strategies. Using Argos location data obtained on 10 resident adult wolverines (six females, four males) from 2008 to 2016, we generated a multi-covariate species distribution model for the wolverine in the Cascades. Our final model included three climatic covariates and their quadratic terms: Proximity to the Transitional Zone Near Alpine Tree Line, Number of Frost-free Days per Year, and Annual Precipitation as Snow. Model validations indicated that our model was robust and could identify areas of potential wolverine distribution in the Cascades reliably. Our model provides evidence that wolverine distribution in the Cascades is constrained by climatic conditions and that snowy and cold environments define the geographic areas that are overwhelmingly associated with resident wolverines. In addition, our model provides a reliable basis for monitoring the direct effects of climate change on wolverines in the Cascade Range and for predicting the extent to which climate change may impact their populations under various scenarios. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Aubry, Keith B. Raley, Catherine M. Shirk, Andrew J. McKelvey, Kevin S. Copeland, Jeffrey P. |
spellingShingle |
Aubry, Keith B. Raley, Catherine M. Shirk, Andrew J. McKelvey, Kevin S. Copeland, Jeffrey P. Climatic conditions limit wolverine distribution in the Cascade Range of southwestern North America |
author_facet |
Aubry, Keith B. Raley, Catherine M. Shirk, Andrew J. McKelvey, Kevin S. Copeland, Jeffrey P. |
author_sort |
Aubry, Keith B. |
title |
Climatic conditions limit wolverine distribution in the Cascade Range of southwestern North America |
title_short |
Climatic conditions limit wolverine distribution in the Cascade Range of southwestern North America |
title_full |
Climatic conditions limit wolverine distribution in the Cascade Range of southwestern North America |
title_fullStr |
Climatic conditions limit wolverine distribution in the Cascade Range of southwestern North America |
title_full_unstemmed |
Climatic conditions limit wolverine distribution in the Cascade Range of southwestern North America |
title_sort |
climatic conditions limit wolverine distribution in the cascade range of southwestern north america |
publisher |
Canadian Science Publishing |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1139/cjz-2022-0005 https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/full-xml/10.1139/cjz-2022-0005 https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1139/cjz-2022-0005 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-125.003,-125.003,54.000,54.000) |
geographic |
Canada British Columbia |
geographic_facet |
Canada British Columbia |
genre |
Gulo gulo |
genre_facet |
Gulo gulo |
op_source |
Canadian Journal of Zoology volume 101, issue 2, page 95-113 ISSN 0008-4301 1480-3283 |
op_rights |
http://www.nrcresearchpress.com/page/about/CorporateTextAndDataMining |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1139/cjz-2022-0005 |
container_title |
Canadian Journal of Zoology |
container_volume |
101 |
container_issue |
2 |
container_start_page |
95 |
op_container_end_page |
113 |
_version_ |
1802645147397128192 |