Prioritisation of areas for early detection of southward movement of arctic fox rabies based on historical surveillance data in Quebec, Canada
Abstract Arctic rabies virus variant (ARVV) is enzootic in Quebec (Canada) north of the 55th parallel. With climate change, increased risk of re-incursion of ARVV in more densely populated southern regions raises public and animal health concerns. The objective of this study was to prioritise geogra...
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Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0950268820003003 https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/S0950268820003003 |
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crcambridgeupr:10.1017/s0950268820003003 2024-03-03T08:40:22+00:00 Prioritisation of areas for early detection of southward movement of arctic fox rabies based on historical surveillance data in Quebec, Canada Aenishaenslin, C. Page, D. Gagnier, M. Massé, A. Fehlner-Gardiner, C. Lambert, L. Hongoh, V. Tinline, R. 2020 http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0950268820003003 https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/S0950268820003003 en eng Cambridge University Press (CUP) http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ Epidemiology and Infection volume 149 ISSN 0950-2688 1469-4409 Infectious Diseases Epidemiology journal-article 2020 crcambridgeupr https://doi.org/10.1017/s0950268820003003 2024-02-08T08:40:13Z Abstract Arctic rabies virus variant (ARVV) is enzootic in Quebec (Canada) north of the 55th parallel. With climate change, increased risk of re-incursion of ARVV in more densely populated southern regions raises public and animal health concerns. The objective of this study was to prioritise geographical areas to target for an early detection of ARVV incursion south of the 55th parallel based on the historical spatio-temporal trends of reported rabies in foxes in Quebec. Descriptive analyses of fox rabies cases from 1953 to 2017 were conducted. Three periods show increases in the number of fox rabies cases in southern regions and indicate incursion from northern areas or neighbouring provinces. The available data, particularly in central and northern regions of the province, were scarce and of low spatial resolution, making it impossible to identify the path of spread with precision. Hence, we investigated the use of multiple criteria, such as historical rabies cases, human population density and red fox ( Vulpes vulpes ) relative abundance, to prioritise areas for enhanced surveillance. This study underscores the need to define and maintain new criteria for selecting samples to be analysed in order to detect rapidly ARVV cases outside the current enzootic area and any potential re-incursion of the virus into central and southern regions of the province. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Fox Arctic Climate change Cambridge University Press Arctic Canada Epidemiology and Infection 149 |
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Cambridge University Press |
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crcambridgeupr |
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English |
topic |
Infectious Diseases Epidemiology |
spellingShingle |
Infectious Diseases Epidemiology Aenishaenslin, C. Page, D. Gagnier, M. Massé, A. Fehlner-Gardiner, C. Lambert, L. Hongoh, V. Tinline, R. Prioritisation of areas for early detection of southward movement of arctic fox rabies based on historical surveillance data in Quebec, Canada |
topic_facet |
Infectious Diseases Epidemiology |
description |
Abstract Arctic rabies virus variant (ARVV) is enzootic in Quebec (Canada) north of the 55th parallel. With climate change, increased risk of re-incursion of ARVV in more densely populated southern regions raises public and animal health concerns. The objective of this study was to prioritise geographical areas to target for an early detection of ARVV incursion south of the 55th parallel based on the historical spatio-temporal trends of reported rabies in foxes in Quebec. Descriptive analyses of fox rabies cases from 1953 to 2017 were conducted. Three periods show increases in the number of fox rabies cases in southern regions and indicate incursion from northern areas or neighbouring provinces. The available data, particularly in central and northern regions of the province, were scarce and of low spatial resolution, making it impossible to identify the path of spread with precision. Hence, we investigated the use of multiple criteria, such as historical rabies cases, human population density and red fox ( Vulpes vulpes ) relative abundance, to prioritise areas for enhanced surveillance. This study underscores the need to define and maintain new criteria for selecting samples to be analysed in order to detect rapidly ARVV cases outside the current enzootic area and any potential re-incursion of the virus into central and southern regions of the province. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Aenishaenslin, C. Page, D. Gagnier, M. Massé, A. Fehlner-Gardiner, C. Lambert, L. Hongoh, V. Tinline, R. |
author_facet |
Aenishaenslin, C. Page, D. Gagnier, M. Massé, A. Fehlner-Gardiner, C. Lambert, L. Hongoh, V. Tinline, R. |
author_sort |
Aenishaenslin, C. |
title |
Prioritisation of areas for early detection of southward movement of arctic fox rabies based on historical surveillance data in Quebec, Canada |
title_short |
Prioritisation of areas for early detection of southward movement of arctic fox rabies based on historical surveillance data in Quebec, Canada |
title_full |
Prioritisation of areas for early detection of southward movement of arctic fox rabies based on historical surveillance data in Quebec, Canada |
title_fullStr |
Prioritisation of areas for early detection of southward movement of arctic fox rabies based on historical surveillance data in Quebec, Canada |
title_full_unstemmed |
Prioritisation of areas for early detection of southward movement of arctic fox rabies based on historical surveillance data in Quebec, Canada |
title_sort |
prioritisation of areas for early detection of southward movement of arctic fox rabies based on historical surveillance data in quebec, canada |
publisher |
Cambridge University Press (CUP) |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0950268820003003 https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/S0950268820003003 |
geographic |
Arctic Canada |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Canada |
genre |
Arctic Fox Arctic Climate change |
genre_facet |
Arctic Fox Arctic Climate change |
op_source |
Epidemiology and Infection volume 149 ISSN 0950-2688 1469-4409 |
op_rights |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1017/s0950268820003003 |
container_title |
Epidemiology and Infection |
container_volume |
149 |
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1792496075591909376 |