Predictive tourism models: are they suitable in the polar environment?
Abstract Polar tourism is a quickly growing, little-studied industry. Understanding tourism's current effects and forecasting future ones is increasingly important. This paper investigates the applicability and usefulness of predictive tourism models for polar environments, by focusing upon Arc...
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Cambridge University Press (CUP)
1998
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Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0032247400025663 https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/S0032247400025663 |
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crcambridgeupr:10.1017/s0032247400025663 2024-03-03T08:41:58+00:00 Predictive tourism models: are they suitable in the polar environment? Jones, C. Scott 1998 http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0032247400025663 https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/S0032247400025663 en eng Cambridge University Press (CUP) https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms Polar Record volume 34, issue 190, page 197-202 ISSN 0032-2474 1475-3057 General Earth and Planetary Sciences Ecology Geography, Planning and Development journal-article 1998 crcambridgeupr https://doi.org/10.1017/s0032247400025663 2024-02-08T08:45:42Z Abstract Polar tourism is a quickly growing, little-studied industry. Understanding tourism's current effects and forecasting future ones is increasingly important. This paper investigates the applicability and usefulness of predictive tourism models for polar environments, by focusing upon Arctic Ship Tourism (AST). R.W. Butler's evolutionary tourism model is presented, with emphasis upon Stanley Plog's version. The strong fit of AST within the framework of these models is established, with emphasis on likely future developments. Usefulness of models in the polar context is limited by several factors, including their origins, their lack of a price/demand element, their deterministic cycle, and vagueness. Still, identifying likely future trends, such as growth levels, passenger characteristics, regulatory mechanisms, and environmental impacts, can result in practical advice for polar resource managers and tour operators. Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic Polar Record Cambridge University Press Arctic Polar Record 34 190 197 202 |
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Open Polar |
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Cambridge University Press |
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crcambridgeupr |
language |
English |
topic |
General Earth and Planetary Sciences Ecology Geography, Planning and Development |
spellingShingle |
General Earth and Planetary Sciences Ecology Geography, Planning and Development Jones, C. Scott Predictive tourism models: are they suitable in the polar environment? |
topic_facet |
General Earth and Planetary Sciences Ecology Geography, Planning and Development |
description |
Abstract Polar tourism is a quickly growing, little-studied industry. Understanding tourism's current effects and forecasting future ones is increasingly important. This paper investigates the applicability and usefulness of predictive tourism models for polar environments, by focusing upon Arctic Ship Tourism (AST). R.W. Butler's evolutionary tourism model is presented, with emphasis upon Stanley Plog's version. The strong fit of AST within the framework of these models is established, with emphasis on likely future developments. Usefulness of models in the polar context is limited by several factors, including their origins, their lack of a price/demand element, their deterministic cycle, and vagueness. Still, identifying likely future trends, such as growth levels, passenger characteristics, regulatory mechanisms, and environmental impacts, can result in practical advice for polar resource managers and tour operators. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Jones, C. Scott |
author_facet |
Jones, C. Scott |
author_sort |
Jones, C. Scott |
title |
Predictive tourism models: are they suitable in the polar environment? |
title_short |
Predictive tourism models: are they suitable in the polar environment? |
title_full |
Predictive tourism models: are they suitable in the polar environment? |
title_fullStr |
Predictive tourism models: are they suitable in the polar environment? |
title_full_unstemmed |
Predictive tourism models: are they suitable in the polar environment? |
title_sort |
predictive tourism models: are they suitable in the polar environment? |
publisher |
Cambridge University Press (CUP) |
publishDate |
1998 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0032247400025663 https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/S0032247400025663 |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Polar Record |
genre_facet |
Arctic Polar Record |
op_source |
Polar Record volume 34, issue 190, page 197-202 ISSN 0032-2474 1475-3057 |
op_rights |
https://www.cambridge.org/core/terms |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1017/s0032247400025663 |
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Polar Record |
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34 |
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190 |
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197 |
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202 |
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1792497485875249152 |