Evaluation and Comparison of Statistical and Conventional Methods of Forecasting Avalanche Hazard
Abstract Principal problems concerning the raw data and methodological limitations of statistical and conventional avalanche forecasting methods are summarized. The concepts of four statistical models based on multivariate data analysis, are outlined in a few words. In order to give an idea of the p...
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Language: | English |
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Cambridge University Press (CUP)
1977
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Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0022143000029403 https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/S0022143000029403 |
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crcambridgeupr:10.1017/s0022143000029403 2024-03-03T08:46:02+00:00 Evaluation and Comparison of Statistical and Conventional Methods of Forecasting Avalanche Hazard Föhn, P. Good, W. Bois, P. Obled, C. 1977 http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0022143000029403 https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/S0022143000029403 en eng Cambridge University Press (CUP) Journal of Glaciology volume 19, issue 81, page 375-387 ISSN 0022-1430 1727-5652 Earth-Surface Processes journal-article 1977 crcambridgeupr https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022143000029403 2024-02-08T08:40:37Z Abstract Principal problems concerning the raw data and methodological limitations of statistical and conventional avalanche forecasting methods are summarized. The concepts of four statistical models based on multivariate data analysis, are outlined in a few words. In order to give an idea of the potential and quality of the different methods, test runs over two winters are discussed and a tentative store is established. Statistical models I and IV, together with the conventional forecast, attain a score of 70-80%, whereas statistical models II and III show a slightly poorer performance. Article in Journal/Newspaper Journal of Glaciology Cambridge University Press Journal of Glaciology 19 81 375 387 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Cambridge University Press |
op_collection_id |
crcambridgeupr |
language |
English |
topic |
Earth-Surface Processes |
spellingShingle |
Earth-Surface Processes Föhn, P. Good, W. Bois, P. Obled, C. Evaluation and Comparison of Statistical and Conventional Methods of Forecasting Avalanche Hazard |
topic_facet |
Earth-Surface Processes |
description |
Abstract Principal problems concerning the raw data and methodological limitations of statistical and conventional avalanche forecasting methods are summarized. The concepts of four statistical models based on multivariate data analysis, are outlined in a few words. In order to give an idea of the potential and quality of the different methods, test runs over two winters are discussed and a tentative store is established. Statistical models I and IV, together with the conventional forecast, attain a score of 70-80%, whereas statistical models II and III show a slightly poorer performance. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Föhn, P. Good, W. Bois, P. Obled, C. |
author_facet |
Föhn, P. Good, W. Bois, P. Obled, C. |
author_sort |
Föhn, P. |
title |
Evaluation and Comparison of Statistical and Conventional Methods of Forecasting Avalanche Hazard |
title_short |
Evaluation and Comparison of Statistical and Conventional Methods of Forecasting Avalanche Hazard |
title_full |
Evaluation and Comparison of Statistical and Conventional Methods of Forecasting Avalanche Hazard |
title_fullStr |
Evaluation and Comparison of Statistical and Conventional Methods of Forecasting Avalanche Hazard |
title_full_unstemmed |
Evaluation and Comparison of Statistical and Conventional Methods of Forecasting Avalanche Hazard |
title_sort |
evaluation and comparison of statistical and conventional methods of forecasting avalanche hazard |
publisher |
Cambridge University Press (CUP) |
publishDate |
1977 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s0022143000029403 https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/S0022143000029403 |
genre |
Journal of Glaciology |
genre_facet |
Journal of Glaciology |
op_source |
Journal of Glaciology volume 19, issue 81, page 375-387 ISSN 0022-1430 1727-5652 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1017/s0022143000029403 |
container_title |
Journal of Glaciology |
container_volume |
19 |
container_issue |
81 |
container_start_page |
375 |
op_container_end_page |
387 |
_version_ |
1792501841165025280 |