Future retreat of Great Aletsch Glacier
Abstract We model the future evolution of the largest glacier of the European Alps – Great Aletsch Glacier, Switzerland – during the 21st century. For that purpose we use a detailed three-dimensional model, which combines full Stokes ice dynamics and surface mass balance forced with the most recent...
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Language: | English |
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Cambridge University Press (CUP)
2019
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Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/jog.2019.52 https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/S0022143019000522 |
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crcambridgeupr:10.1017/jog.2019.52 2024-09-30T14:37:51+00:00 Future retreat of Great Aletsch Glacier Jouvet, Guillaume Huss, Matthias 2019 http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/jog.2019.52 https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/S0022143019000522 en eng Cambridge University Press (CUP) http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Journal of Glaciology volume 65, issue 253, page 869-872 ISSN 0022-1430 1727-5652 journal-article 2019 crcambridgeupr https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2019.52 2024-09-04T04:03:15Z Abstract We model the future evolution of the largest glacier of the European Alps – Great Aletsch Glacier, Switzerland – during the 21st century. For that purpose we use a detailed three-dimensional model, which combines full Stokes ice dynamics and surface mass balance forced with the most recent climate projections (CH2018), as well as with climate data of the last decades. As a result, all CH2018 climate scenarios yield a major glacier retreat: Results range from a loss of 60% of today's ice volume by 2100 for a moderate CO 2 emission scenario (RCP2.6) being in line with the Paris agreement to an almost complete wastage of the ice for the most extreme emission scenario (RCP8.5). Our model results also provide evidence that half of the mass loss is already committed under the climate conditions of the last decade. Article in Journal/Newspaper Journal of Glaciology Cambridge University Press Journal of Glaciology 65 253 869 872 |
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Open Polar |
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Cambridge University Press |
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crcambridgeupr |
language |
English |
description |
Abstract We model the future evolution of the largest glacier of the European Alps – Great Aletsch Glacier, Switzerland – during the 21st century. For that purpose we use a detailed three-dimensional model, which combines full Stokes ice dynamics and surface mass balance forced with the most recent climate projections (CH2018), as well as with climate data of the last decades. As a result, all CH2018 climate scenarios yield a major glacier retreat: Results range from a loss of 60% of today's ice volume by 2100 for a moderate CO 2 emission scenario (RCP2.6) being in line with the Paris agreement to an almost complete wastage of the ice for the most extreme emission scenario (RCP8.5). Our model results also provide evidence that half of the mass loss is already committed under the climate conditions of the last decade. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Jouvet, Guillaume Huss, Matthias |
spellingShingle |
Jouvet, Guillaume Huss, Matthias Future retreat of Great Aletsch Glacier |
author_facet |
Jouvet, Guillaume Huss, Matthias |
author_sort |
Jouvet, Guillaume |
title |
Future retreat of Great Aletsch Glacier |
title_short |
Future retreat of Great Aletsch Glacier |
title_full |
Future retreat of Great Aletsch Glacier |
title_fullStr |
Future retreat of Great Aletsch Glacier |
title_full_unstemmed |
Future retreat of Great Aletsch Glacier |
title_sort |
future retreat of great aletsch glacier |
publisher |
Cambridge University Press (CUP) |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/jog.2019.52 https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/S0022143019000522 |
genre |
Journal of Glaciology |
genre_facet |
Journal of Glaciology |
op_source |
Journal of Glaciology volume 65, issue 253, page 869-872 ISSN 0022-1430 1727-5652 |
op_rights |
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2019.52 |
container_title |
Journal of Glaciology |
container_volume |
65 |
container_issue |
253 |
container_start_page |
869 |
op_container_end_page |
872 |
_version_ |
1811640633730793472 |