Numerical modelling of past retreat and future evolution of Chhota Shigri glacier in Western Indian Himalaya
ABSTRACT The history of glacier length fluctuations serves as a reliable indicator of the past climate. In this paper, a numerical flowline model has been used to study the relationship between length variations of Chhota Shigri glacier and local climate since 1876. The simulated front positions of...
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Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/aog.2017.21 https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/S0260305517000210 |
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crcambridgeupr:10.1017/aog.2017.21 2024-09-15T17:39:52+00:00 Numerical modelling of past retreat and future evolution of Chhota Shigri glacier in Western Indian Himalaya Gantayat, Prateek Kulkarni, Anil V. Srinivasan, J. Schmeits, Maurice J 2017 http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/aog.2017.21 https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/S0260305517000210 en eng Cambridge University Press (CUP) Annals of Glaciology volume 58, issue 75pt2, page 136-144 ISSN 0260-3055 1727-5644 journal-article 2017 crcambridgeupr https://doi.org/10.1017/aog.2017.21 2024-08-28T04:03:08Z ABSTRACT The history of glacier length fluctuations serves as a reliable indicator of the past climate. In this paper, a numerical flowline model has been used to study the relationship between length variations of Chhota Shigri glacier and local climate since 1876. The simulated front positions of Chhota Shigri glacier are in agreement with those observed. After a successful simulation of the past retreat, the model was also used to predict future evolution of the glacier for the next 100 years under different climatic scenarios. These simulations indicate that the Chhota Shigri glacier may lose ~90% of its present volume by 2100 if the local temperature increases by 2.4 K, and for a temperature rise of 5.5 K, the glacier loses almost all its volume. Article in Journal/Newspaper Annals of Glaciology Cambridge University Press Annals of Glaciology 58 75pt2 136 144 |
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Open Polar |
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Cambridge University Press |
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crcambridgeupr |
language |
English |
description |
ABSTRACT The history of glacier length fluctuations serves as a reliable indicator of the past climate. In this paper, a numerical flowline model has been used to study the relationship between length variations of Chhota Shigri glacier and local climate since 1876. The simulated front positions of Chhota Shigri glacier are in agreement with those observed. After a successful simulation of the past retreat, the model was also used to predict future evolution of the glacier for the next 100 years under different climatic scenarios. These simulations indicate that the Chhota Shigri glacier may lose ~90% of its present volume by 2100 if the local temperature increases by 2.4 K, and for a temperature rise of 5.5 K, the glacier loses almost all its volume. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Gantayat, Prateek Kulkarni, Anil V. Srinivasan, J. Schmeits, Maurice J |
spellingShingle |
Gantayat, Prateek Kulkarni, Anil V. Srinivasan, J. Schmeits, Maurice J Numerical modelling of past retreat and future evolution of Chhota Shigri glacier in Western Indian Himalaya |
author_facet |
Gantayat, Prateek Kulkarni, Anil V. Srinivasan, J. Schmeits, Maurice J |
author_sort |
Gantayat, Prateek |
title |
Numerical modelling of past retreat and future evolution of Chhota Shigri glacier in Western Indian Himalaya |
title_short |
Numerical modelling of past retreat and future evolution of Chhota Shigri glacier in Western Indian Himalaya |
title_full |
Numerical modelling of past retreat and future evolution of Chhota Shigri glacier in Western Indian Himalaya |
title_fullStr |
Numerical modelling of past retreat and future evolution of Chhota Shigri glacier in Western Indian Himalaya |
title_full_unstemmed |
Numerical modelling of past retreat and future evolution of Chhota Shigri glacier in Western Indian Himalaya |
title_sort |
numerical modelling of past retreat and future evolution of chhota shigri glacier in western indian himalaya |
publisher |
Cambridge University Press (CUP) |
publishDate |
2017 |
url |
http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/aog.2017.21 https://www.cambridge.org/core/services/aop-cambridge-core/content/view/S0260305517000210 |
genre |
Annals of Glaciology |
genre_facet |
Annals of Glaciology |
op_source |
Annals of Glaciology volume 58, issue 75pt2, page 136-144 ISSN 0260-3055 1727-5644 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1017/aog.2017.21 |
container_title |
Annals of Glaciology |
container_volume |
58 |
container_issue |
75pt2 |
container_start_page |
136 |
op_container_end_page |
144 |
_version_ |
1810483084101943296 |