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Turkey 20th century reanalysis data AO Atmospheric Science Atmospheric oscillations Climate change and variability Climate variability Climatic variability Composite precipitation anomaly and mean Correlation and Cramer's tk test Cramer's t k test Erinç aridity index Extreme NAOI phase Frost event changes Frost event climatology Mann-Kendall test Mediterranean Basin Minimum air temperature NAO Number of frost days Precipitation Remote sensing Standardized precipitation index The NAO index The North Atlantic oscillation air mass atmospheric standard pressure levels heat waves potential temperature vectoral and meridional winds