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54 Environmental Sciences 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES 58 GEOSCIENCES Verlagsveröffentlichung article ice wedge numerical modeling permafrost Advanced Terrestrial Simulator Amanzi hydrology Earth Sciences 29 ENERGY PLANNING 97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING AND ECONOMY Active Layer Thickness;Thermal hydrological conditions;Advanced Terrestrial Simulator;Arctic Active layer thickness;Permafrost projections;Soil property uncertainty;Calibration-constrained analysis;Utqiagvik, Alaska;North Slope, Alaska;Barrow, Alaska Barrow, Alaska;Utqiagvik, Alaska Climate Action Cloud area Geophysics Hydrology Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences Oceanography POLICY Physical Geography and Environmental Geoscience active layer active layer thickness;ground temperature;North Slope, Alaska advective heat transfer area;thermokarst pool area;Arctic;Alaska;Canada;Siberia