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550 polar vortex 500 333.7 Active and break periods Extreme precipitation Indian summer monsoon Meridional Rossby wave Monsoon and mid-latitude flows climate prediction machine learning unsupervised learning Anthropogenic aerosols Business-as-usual Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Extreme weather events Northern Hemispheres Quasi-stationary Radiative forcings Surface temperatures atmospheric circulation circumglobal teleconnection cold wave extreme event midlatitude environment stratosphere sudden stratospheric warming winter 530 570